My thoughts on COP26…

First, I’m glad to see serious consideration for the financialization of the global response to climate disruption. I still think Kim Stanley Robinson’s idea of a Central Banks-backed Stable Coin that can be mined (as in bitcoin) by carbon sequestration is the best approach. Second, I think these conferences are useful in that they create frameworks that can offer a scaffold for a multitude of separate actions–that in spite of the “no teeth” complaints. I feel the same way about the Hague Court and the UN. Finally, it seems to me that some actors (national and others) will eventually try to geoengineer and it would be useful to think about what that will mean in terms of the scaffolding.

My economist colleagues continue to argue in terms of GDP loss. In that GDP doesn’t value ecosystem services, I think that’s a big problem.

NEON ambassador’s program

…Had it’s kickoff Ideas Lab meeting today, the link is here. I’m a part of this effort as a mentor and I must say I’m really impressed with the group of diverse scientists that have been selected for the program after a very serious competition.

What’s always fun about these types of meetings is the unexpected–today I learned about some modeling simulations going on at NCAR that I hadn’t heard about: if I heard correctly, the involve the in silico simulation of actual NEON sensor towers from specific domain sites of the Observatory. The idea is that the simulation can be tested against the actual data product time series across the ~200 data products. Neat!

Science Collaboration Across the New Iron Curtain…

I am quite frustrated with the downward spiral in collaborative science between US and Chinese researchers. Here is a rare and productive idea for creating “safe spaces” for such science to continue under the current dismal geopolitical circumstances. Having lived through the First Cold War –barely considering the Cuban Missile Crisis and other near misses– it’s clear that a continuing bridge between scientists on both sides was instrumental in keeping a rational conversation going.

Francis Collins to step down as NIH Director

CNN has the lead here. I can’t say I’m surprised. Francis has done a great job leading the Agency, but he’s been there a very long time. It’s early in the handicapping for who President Biden will nominate to succeeed him, but it’s a good bet the Lander and Faucci will have a big say. What is important is that NIH figure out a distinct mission for its intramural program–I would suggest focusing on high risk, high payoff science. I also think that a new NIH director should do something to reform the creaky NIH peer-review culture (Study Sections).

What I’ve been up to…

I’m on the team that submitted this preprint to MedrXiv. I’d say the conclusions are quite compelling. We’re also finishing our project on the National Science Board and moving on to Space Law (as in the future Rules of Life for SpaceX). We’re also getting ready to submit a new proposal on cell traffiking of proteins in neurons and another major push in AI at the edge. So busy.

NSB paper: update

Just a progress report for folks who have been following my project to take a policy look at the National Science Board through the lens of NSF’s science mission. We’re in the process of finishing up a manuscript for submission. My undergraduate honors student has been spectacular in moving the project forward during the pandemic–he will be first author!

Joshua Rothman and rationality

From this week’s New Yorker, here: featuring my colleague Tyler Cowen. Well written and quite entertaining.

Note: I consider the scientific method (which I subscribe to in my own thinking) as being somewhat distinct from Bayesian reasoning which is pushed in the piece. A scientist needs to be imaginative in addition to being rigorous in her thinking. The imaginative component is absent from the article.

Hurricane Bob and Woods Hole

Thirty years ago today there was an almost successful coup in the former USSR. But for those of us at the Marine Biological Laboratory, geopolitics was secondary. We were mostly huddled on second floor of the Swope Center at MBL as the storm surge took over the parking lot and then moved closer to the main front doors. Eel pond had completely blown out through the Ball Field into Buzzard’s Bay and the roof of the Brick Dorm was scattering shingles piece meal. Some of us wandered over to the Lillie Building wearing bike helmets as protection from the roof. That probably wasn’t wise.

After the storm, there was much swimming in the lake that had been School Street. The Shining Sea bike path was gone and the New York Times led the next day with pictures of the big sailboats washed up on Penzance Point. They had to send in the Sea King helicopters.

The power was out for the next several weeks. But we kept the -80 freezers alive and science kept on. If that isn’t resiliance, I don’t know what is.