What is going on with global politics?

I spend most of my time thinking either about global issues somewhat removed from politics, or the politics of science and the academy. But it’s clear that geopolitically, something much larger and emergent is going on that is fostering an increase in violent conflict and political anger. And this is happening not just here in the United States, but globally with hot wars going on in Europe and the Middle East, to say nothing of new threatened conflict in South America.

Apart from the micro-details of each particular conflict, the bigger picture, from my point of view, is that the pandemic and climate disruption are global shocks that have led to this emergent manifestation of large-scale human-on-human violence. Apart from a complexity science approach, how would we study this notion? Are there any testable hypotheses here?

Asking for a friend…